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A Reality Check You Can Believe In

The race wil turn again today. Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama will emerge from Super Tuesday Part II as co-front-runners. That’s the consensus of more and more Democrats watching this race from the trenches and from afar.

The most likely scenario tonight, according to top officials in both campaigns, is Clinton wins Ohio and Rhode Island comfortably and fights Obama to a tie or ekes out a victory in Texas in the popular vote. The only safe state in the Obama column this morning, by mutual agreement of both camps, is Vermont.

The question in Texas is who wins the pledged delegates alloted from the primary and subsequent caucuses. Obama could win the delegate hunt while still losing the popular vote because of the weighting of delegates in African-America state senate districts and those allocated through the caucus process where Obama’s grassroots organization may out-perform Clinton’s.

Obama’s Texas operatives have grown more nervous about Obama’s prospects in Texas since Friday. They readily concede the “3 a.m.” ad from Clinton changed the dynamic and undecided voters began to move toward Clinton over the weekend.

Clinton’s lead in Ohio, according to Clinton field organizers, sits at about 6 points but there is a sense that late-breaking voters — as they have in the past — are moving toward Clinton and her margin of victory could exceed 6 points there.

Already, the Obama camp is out with a Super Tuesday Part II pre-buttal. Chief spokesman Bill Burton sent the following e-mail to campaign reporters at 9 a.m. EST:

“The Clinton campaign said this race was all about delegates and that they would be tied or ahead by morning. But despite the 20-point lead in Ohio and Texas that Senator Clinton had just two weeks ago, we will still be well ahead in delegates tonight and they will have failed at achieving their plainly stated goals. They have floated proposal after proposal to try to subvert the will of Democratic voters and retrospectively change the rules of the nominating process, but the bottom line is that it will still be virtually impossible for them to catch up in delegates after tonight.”

To this, Howard Wolfson, Clinton’s communications director, had this direct response to The Bourbon Room placing that Burton quote before him on a conference call with reporters at 11:30 a.m EST:

“First, I would invite anyone on this call to judge, based on those remarks, who thinks there in a better position in Ohio and Texas. Two, here’s the bottom line: this party is not going to nominate someone against John McCain who can’t pass the commander in chief test and can’t pass the steward of the economy test. And I think we’re going to see tonight voters saying Sen. Obama has not passed that test. I think it is that simple. We are simply not going to nominate someone who voters have doubts about as commander in chief and steward of the economy.”

Since Clinton, as The Bourbon Room noted Sunday, framed Texas as the place for the debate on national security and Ohio as the place for the debate on stewardship of the economy, that was Wolfson’s way of predicting victories in Texas and Ohio — without actually saying so.

The results tonight will raise significant questions about Obama’s campaign, some of which are already being asked in Democratic circles.

Why wasn’t his campaign able to win these four contests and definitively end the fight for the nomination, especially after having a massive financial advantage that blanketed the airwaves in Texas and Ohio with ads that ran four and five times more frequently than Clinton’s (last Thursday night in Houston, The Bourbon Room saw 10 Obama ads in the space of an hour without seeing one Clinton ad). The true party experts will also ponder, if Obama fails to win Ohio and Texas, how the grassroots and TV and radio ad efforts of the Service Employees International Union and United Food and Commerical Workers. These endorsements were supposed to cement Obama’s hold on both states and give him the added organizational power and media message to put both big states away. Increasingly, it appears these organizational and media advantages will have been squandered.

This could raise new questions in the mind of Superdelegates as to Obama’s staying power and political prowess. The Obama camp will argue that it trailed badly to Clinton in both states, fought hard and lost but still leads in pledged delegates and the race is still, basically, over. That’s the core of Burton’s argument above. They will further argue that Superdelegates should move to Obama to avoid a nasty seven-week campaign in Pennsylvania where Obama is going to be bloodied by Clinton and weakened for the upcoming contest with McCain.

The Clinton camp will argue that where it has fought Obama and fought him hard, it has won and that MUST matter. The Clinton camp has stalled defections of Superdelegates by privately making — in so many words — the following argument: don’t defect to Obama, not until March 4. Let us fight until March 4 and if we win, stay neutral or re-evaluate Hillary as a potential nominee.

Many Superdelegates have accepted this wait-and-see approach. The ones — about 40 — who have gone to Obama were not willing to wait and feared that even if Clinton lost Ohio or Texas she wouldn’t drop out.

Clinton will clearly not drop out. She’s heading straight to Pennsylvania after her victory celebration and, as The Bourbon Room predicted on Sunday, we are now heading to Super Tuesday Part III.

5 Responses to “A Reality Check You Can Believe In”

Comment by b

http//www.youtube.com/watch?v=53MXY56vk7I

 
Comment by Liz M

If Obama wins in Pennsylvania, it will be really sad. If these people were to watch Hannity & Colmes they would learn things about Obama, that he doesn’t want them to know. Something called the truth about his record and his lies. They talk about Hillary but they are so careful to hide as much as they can from the public. I also read one of Obama’s books because Ann Coulter(Sp) made a comment about it and said don’t believe me read his book. She was right god help us. If he is elected then we deserve what we get. People please educate yourself, find out what is coming out about Obama that should have come out a long time ago. I also wonder how many people would have not voted for him, had they known then what they know now?

 
Comment by veronica

I love his positive vibe and message! Obama includes ALL people and that means the Rev. Wright, Ayers, Rezco , etc. If they did teach him anything, they taught him NOT to be like them.

Obama don’t let the “haters” get to you. I know you’ll work to get them better jobs and MAKE THIS A BETTER AMERICA FOR ALL OF US!

GO OBAMA!

 
Comment by dmclair

Wednesday, April 23, 2008

and Re: In a Question Of Balance… Part Two (1.) & Two (2.)
Current mood: accomplished
Category: Goals, Plans, Hopes

Comment by DClair BMI EarthCore

April 23rd, 2008 at 8:42 am
Edited Footnotes

Re: In a Question Of Balance… Part Two (1.)

By: DMC

There is one last thing in this private conversation
to everyone just suppose that there was a concern
George, was having in not, I say again not, as was
Colwin Powell in the his reluctance in avoiding war
if there was any possibility at all to do so … Within
this tri-conversation, it was I that was responsible
not … George Bush. Iraq, As a central hub …

Being centralized from Iraq, and that time was by
all means limited… Taking full responsibility to all
actions that will be with time by 2014 to go down
in history’s time being chiefly accurate that all US
Citizens with then see clearly our now ending war.

As to be exact, The W M D Issue as any logical
mind would agree. just a similar hypothetical with
give person committed to there own potential for
suicide.

As with a threat of a potential suicide there can be
no assumption, as must be taken for a fact when
threatened even so if there not. that may be held
as well hidden.

The concern to some degree not just to the US but
as well within the potential errors of black market
as during this time. Hussein’s grand untruth to the
world in covert was in effect crafted and created by
himself, that in all pleadings failed to cooperate in
effect and was not just dictator but potentially was a
delaying problem who was by his General Chemical
Ali, that without dialect against Geneva Convention
World Rules not our rules committed Genocide …

Alone was an insisted reason indeed as held all of
the our world community that enough, was indeed
enough. That if Barrack Obama had any clue at all
he as well would not be using the deaths of those
for, and ours, the many, more as well in a political
debate for self gain when at that time 80% percent
agreed to a necessity not a practicality. That if he
really need accuse Bush, he should begin with me
first in his pining a paper note on a goat. I am an
Arias, for the thousands of innocent souls knowing
Hussein for who and what he was then as well as He
is now and was by the fact the only responsible party
in the freeing of an enslaved, helpless people and as
a unequal responsible party by his own deception …

That is not to far from Barrack Obama himself that
should by far be even more understood! But In his
own lack of concern for an enslaved people into its
self stands to a (no) commitment an about face in
a time of war.

In his own hypocrisy not out of concern of others
but his very own hate in his boast and misguided
promotion color … Not the color of money or the
republican party! As he has no room there to talk
in the bleeding of his own poor for his own political
position!

A Hypocrisy, of religion, to bear arms, and indeed
does speak volumes of his negligence and ability in
such foreign matters that bears the very same mark
of arrogance critical in matter maters of crisis …

From: DMC

Sent: Wednesday, April 23, 2008 2:07 AM

To: Friends ; press ; U.S. Department of State ;
DMC

Cc: Fatherjonathan ; Oreilly ; Ontherecord ;
Work Registration BMI ; Colmes

Subject: In a Question Of Balance… Part Two (2.)

Politics’ and Barrack Obama … By: DMC

In a Question Of Balance… Part Two (2.)

It is really not premise or accusation or even to say
in a question of balance, when it comes down home
on a guilt tagged on goat, or by mere association.

Or not deny what now appeared as a pre-conceived
movement in the reality to have become prominence
now of a heard presence in Barrack’s campaign.

And not easily denied of Obama’s, liberal activists.

Many of whom may, by charisma being caught up
in the very heat of the moment with those amongst
them supported without the awareness volunteered
by Louis Farrakhan, Reverend Wright, planted into
key placements whom many are pre-selected and
paid for, in a sole purpose creating an atmosphere
of intense excitement within each and every one of
within his rallied, choreographed and disingenuous
speeches. That are mixed in along with many who
are Anti-American Extremists, and Paid Fainters.

Given precise in interpreted intervals of Barack’s
alleged impromptu; meticulously; memorized; and
repeated from within his many propitious speech’s
that has been personally and favorably to most all
and likely leading all those breathlessly to his
success.

All and all, he may cautiously and continuously try
to deny, and denounce, and with the same slyness
in his own claimed disownments of a past seeming
to linger to haunt him, however there still underlined
within each in a certain deep down question that any
logical person is left asking as to his honesty. And
as well to his integrity in these not so superficial but
now growing excess baggage’s Barrack has slowly
been being vetted with still challenged and just to
who are they really intrusting to be a candidate of
our and (not his) white house, as well (our) and not
his potential position given of the highest office.

Now has approached beyond these questions of
most anyone’s reasonable limits excluded only in
those many who are influenced and unaware.

As it was my sole intention to simplify to them
who have been bedazzled by such a charisma.

That is only second to the influence of (fear) that
he constantly uses in his speeches and of all the
things he has ether contained, or denied.

This is the very one thing in truth and undeniably
has abused as is only given by the highest of our
institutions of learning, as is a structured course
in the power of controlling and in the manipulation
of the masses. As he is well aware of as others do
know, in a shared common knowledge amongst our
many representatives, and as a given course of all
law students… Who throughout the years have in
time become indifferent. As Charisma by itself is
fatally flawed, and limited that without the power
of high position in the (pyramid) of (power) that he,
Barrack Obama does now seek and as well as if
not even stronger is the same desire of his wife
Michelle. But it is not just he alone but those that
have given him assertion through there ascension.

The very reason being throughout the many years
who always tried, by persuasion, and have failed
in its own short lived and many abuses… As once
it has become exposed it is doomed to its failure
and a reason by most to become easily indifferent.

Just as: Bill Clinton, stated: “It is best to let the
whole entire thing work itself out by the American
Public, all for themselves, as it is just a matter time
that the public will soon figure it out for themselves”

Basically In simplifying this, for the general audience
and is my intent and general purpose in this paper in
doing just that, to the exposing of: Barrack Obama…

In conclusion; Liberal Extremists, Anti-War Activists
to the lower end of the totem pole and I do not mean
all of those, not including 99% Percent of all, of our
American Indians in any color, as that would be us
and the entire U ,S , and of course Tiger woods and
Sweden before them in some distant past.

Are those lowly …Terrorists, already knowing that
even Barrack’s writing staff reads all my papers just
how else would they be so adaptive and innovative
as that bizarre analogy of excluding no-one being left
out last night in Illinois. Beware what you put down
in your script’s Barrack, as if I do not have ears all of
my own even long before your very first campaigns.
Young Man … I’ve been known to even chew the hell
out of George, and I keep a copy of everything and
that includes his father before he, was the President.

And there just could be a slight fee and that means
(you) Mister! Uh huh… And I’m not talking about your
little pocket book … There’s a little original story I will
tell you … Wealth is easy to obtain, the trick is all in
keeping it! And wisdom, is far, few, and in between ~

There is one thing about: Terrorists …
and or, any of there friends or supporters?

And as I was about to say in keeping it simple
and it sounds about like this …

You can hang out at the fish market with the boys, or a
few of your close friends, and try to convince all your local
Nabors; that you never, bought, were given, a single fish. Or
even brought a single fish in through the door, but it’s all a little
hard in all of that convincing, when your very own wife in there the
kitchen preparing dinner with all of her very own kitchen windows left
wide open…

In this little step ladder of success!

DMC BMI

http://www.myspace.com/dmcbmi

A patriot and a Democrat

And when it’s dark and you can’t see light … And you
just can’t seem to see light just remember… That
it is our right to fight, and to never surrender at all …

And time, is all that were really asking for … is

a little more time to get things done

CORY HART

9:31 - 0 Comments - 0 Kudos - Add Comment - Edit - Remove -

 
Comment by dmclair

Wednesday, April 23, 2008

and Re: In a Question Of Balance… Part Two (1.) & Two (2.)
Current mood: accomplished
Category: Goals, Plans, Hopes

Comment by DClair BMI EarthCore

April 23rd, 2008 at 8:42 am
Edited Footnotes

Re: In a Question Of Balance… Part Two (1.)

By: DMC

There is one last thing in this private conversation
to everyone just suppose that there was a concern
George, was having in not, I say again not, as was
Colwin Powell in the his reluctance in avoiding war
if there was any possibility at all to do so … Within
this tri-conversation, it was I that was responsible
not … George Bush. Iraq, As a central hub …

Being centralized from Iraq, and that time was by
all means limited… Taking full responsibility to all
actions that will be with time by 2014 to go down
in history’s time being chiefly accurate that all US
Citizens with then see clearly our now ending war.

As to be exact, The W M D Issue as any logical
mind would agree. just a similar hypothetical with
give person committed to there own potential for
suicide.

As with a threat of a potential suicide there can be
no assumption, as must be taken for a fact when
threatened even so if there not. that may be held
as well hidden.

The concern to some degree not just to the US but
as well within the potential errors of black market
as during this time. Hussein’s grand untruth to the
world in covert was in effect crafted and created by
himself, that in all pleadings failed to cooperate in
effect and was not just dictator but potentially was a
delaying problem who was by his General Chemical
Ali, that without dialect against Geneva Convention
World Rules not our rules committed Genocide …

Alone was an insisted reason indeed as held all of
the our world community that enough, was indeed
enough. That if Barrack Obama had any clue at all
he as well would not be using the deaths of those
for, and ours, the many, more as well in a political
debate for self gain when at that time 80% percent
agreed to a necessity not a practicality. That if he
really need accuse Bush, he should begin with me
first in his pining a paper note on a goat. I am an
Arias, for the thousands of innocent souls knowing
Hussein for who and what he was then as well as He
is now and was by the fact the only responsible party
in the freeing of an enslaved, helpless people and as
a unequal responsible party by his own deception …

That is not to far from Barrack Obama himself that
should by far be even more understood! But In his
own lack of concern for an enslaved people into its
self stands to a (no) commitment an about face in
a time of war.

In his own hypocrisy not out of concern of others
but his very own hate in his boast and misguided
promotion color … Not the color of money or the
republican party! As he has no room there to talk
in the bleeding of his own poor for his own political
position!

A Hypocrisy, of religion, to bear arms, and indeed
does speak volumes of his negligence and ability in
such foreign matters that bears the very same mark
of arrogance critical in matter maters of crisis …

From: DMC

Sent: Wednesday, April 23, 2008 2:07 AM

To: Friends ; press ; U.S. Department of State ;
DMC

Cc: Fatherjonathan ; Oreilly ; Ontherecord ;
Work Registration BMI ; Colmes

Subject: In a Question Of Balance… Part Two (2.)

Politics’ and Barrack Obama … By: DMC

In a Question Of Balance… Part Two (2.)

It is really not premise or accusation or even to say
in a question of balance, when it comes down home
on a guilt tagged on goat, or by mere association.

Or not deny what now appeared as a pre-conceived
movement in the reality to have become prominence
now of a heard presence in Barrack’s campaign.

And not easily denied of Obama’s, liberal activists.

Many of whom may, by charisma being caught up
in the very heat of the moment with those amongst
them supported without the awareness volunteered
by Louis Farrakhan, Reverend Wright, planted into
key placements whom many are pre-selected and
paid for, in a sole purpose creating an atmosphere
of intense excitement within each and every one of
within his rallied, choreographed and disingenuous
speeches. That are mixed in along with many who
are Anti-American Extremists, and Paid Fainters.

Given precise in interpreted intervals of Barack’s
alleged impromptu; meticulously; memorized; and
repeated from within his many propitious speech’s
that has been personally and favorably to most all
and likely leading all those breathlessly to his
success.

All and all, he may cautiously and continuously try
to deny, and denounce, and with the same slyness
in his own claimed disownments of a past seeming
to linger to haunt him, however there still underlined
within each in a certain deep down question that any
logical person is left asking as to his honesty. And
as well to his integrity in these not so superficial but
now growing excess baggage’s Barrack has slowly
been being vetted with still challenged and just to
who are they really intrusting to be a candidate of
our and (not his) white house, as well (our) and not
his potential position given of the highest office.

Now has approached beyond these questions of
most anyone’s reasonable limits excluded only in
those many who are influenced and unaware.

As it was my sole intention to simplify to them
who have been bedazzled by such a charisma.

That is only second to the influence of (fear) that
he constantly uses in his speeches and of all the
things he has ether contained, or denied.

This is the very one thing in truth and undeniably
has abused as is only given by the highest of our
institutions of learning, as is a structured course
in the power of controlling and in the manipulation
of the masses. As he is well aware of as others do
know, in a shared common knowledge amongst our
many representatives, and as a given course of all
law students… Who throughout the years have in
time become indifferent. As Charisma by itself is
fatally flawed, and limited that without the power
of high position in the (pyramid) of (power) that he,
Barrack Obama does now seek and as well as if
not even stronger is the same desire of his wife
Michelle. But it is not just he alone but those that
have given him assertion through there ascension.

The very reason being throughout the many years
who always tried, by persuasion, and have failed
in its own short lived and many abuses… As once
it has become exposed it is doomed to its failure
and a reason by most to become easily indifferent.

Just as: Bill Clinton, stated: “It is best to let the
whole entire thing work itself out by the American
Public, all for themselves, as it is just a matter time
that the public will soon figure it out for themselves”

Basically In simplifying this, for the general audience
and is my intent and general purpose in this paper in
doing just that, to the exposing of: Barrack Obama…

In conclusion; Liberal Extremists, Anti-War Activists
to the lower end of the totem pole and I do not mean
all of those, not including 99% Percent of all, of our
American Indians in any color, as that would be us
and the entire U ,S , and of course Tiger woods and
Sweden before them in some distant past.

Are those lowly …Terrorists, already knowing that
even Barrack’s writing staff reads all my papers just
how else would they be so adaptive and innovative
as that bizarre analogy of excluding no-one being left
out last night in Illinois. Beware what you put down
in your script’s Barrack, as if I do not have ears all of
my own even long before your very first campaigns.
Young Man … I’ve been known to even chew the hell
out of George, and I keep a copy of everything and
that includes his father before he, was the President.

And there just could be a slight fee and that means
(you) Mister! Uh huh… And I’m not talking about your
little pocket book … There’s a little original story I will
tell you … Wealth is easy to obtain, the trick is all in
keeping it! And wisdom, is far, few, and in between ~

There is one thing about: Terrorists …
and or, any of there friends or supporters?

And as I was about to say in keeping it simple
and it sounds about like this …

You can hang out at the fish market with the boys, or a
few of your close friends, and try to convince all your local
Nabors; that you never, bought, were given, a single fish. Or
even brought a single fish in through the door, but it’s all a little
hard in all of that convincing, when your very own wife in there the
kitchen preparing dinner with all of her very own kitchen windows left
wide open…

In this little step ladder of success!

DMC BMI

http://www.myspace.com/dmcbmi

A patriot and a Democrat

And when it’s dark and you can’t see light … And you
just can’t seem to see light just remember… That
it is our right to fight, and to never surrender at all …

And time, is all that were really asking for … is

a little more time to get things done

CORY HART

 

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