The Bourbon Room

McCain Payroll Tax Pain – Gymnastics Edition

WASHINGTON — 11 p.m. EDT

Under fire since Sunday for opening the door to payroll tax increases as part of a Social Security deal, John McCain escaped a policy full-nelson of his own creation, telling himself as much as his audience in Aurora, Colo., that he won’t raise taxes .

I will not raise your taxes,” McCain said, looking down at his town hall notes propped before him. “I will not do it.”

But since McCain’s flank was exposed on the question of Social Security payroll taxes, McCain drove the anti-tax nail deeper into the town hall stage, invoking an apparent contrast with Barack Obama.

“He (Obama) wants to raise Social Security taxes,” McCain said, again looking down at his notes. “I want to fix the system without raising taxes.”

The crowd applauded and McCain appeared satisfied with the reaction. Perhaps even more satisfying came the reaction later Wednesday in Washington from The Club for Growth, a free-market, anti-tax bulldog that’s been harassing McCain on taxes since his campaign began.

“Today the Club for Growth thanked John McCain for reaffirming his opposition to increasing taxes, including Social Security taxes,” the Club said in a statement. “Although the Club for Growth expressed concern previously, John McCain’s comments today are a demonstration of his commitment to opposing higher taxes.”

And this, students of politics, would be what a physicist would recognize as action and reaction, or cause and effect. As the headline suggests, a gymnast might call this a forward flip coming out of a backward somersault. Whatever a gymnast might call it, an Olympic commentator would probably remark that it was a difficult, high-risk maneuver performed with “good amplitude.”

Thus McCain extracted himself, at least from the moment, from the skeptical maw of the Club and the acidic editorial writers at The Wall Street Journal who today scorched McCain for bungling the tax issue and predicting certain death for a GOP campaign that can’t decisively win the tax issue in hard economic times.

“If Mr. McCain can’t convince voters that he’s better on taxes than is a Democrat who says matter-of-factly that he wants to raise taxes, the Republican is going to lose in a rout,” the Journal wrote.

McCain started all of this, of course, when he told ABC’s “This Week” — when asked specifically if payroll tax increases were on the table — that “there is nothing that’s off the table. I have my positions, and I’ll articulate them. But nothing’s off the table.”

As garden variety analysis of future negotiations on a tough issue like Social Security, this answer makes perfect sense. As president, McCain meant to say, he would oppose higher payroll taxes but wouldn’t eliminate them from discussion because that could scuttle talks before they even began.

So what’s the problem?

Free-market Republicans are terrified, and with good reason, at way may happen to Congress on Election Day. They can see Republicans losing 20 seats in the House and at least 5 in the Senate. As a result, they don’t want any preemptive soft talk from McCain on taxes now. If he’s elected, they know McCain will face large and angry Democratic majorities more than willing to jam his “nothing is off the table” commitment right down his throat.

This and other misgivings were conveyed. McCain felt the pressure, saw he had stepped into it and flipped back as best he could.

And camp Obama couldn’t be happier.

Why?

Because now comes the other side of the pre-sharpened Democratic pincer on Social Security. Since Obama has already endorsed higher payroll taxes as part of his Social Security solvency plan (see: Hillary Clinton’s ads, mailers and robo calls about Obama’s “$1 trillion tax increase”), Obama was in no position to criticize McCain on the issue.

But now that McCain has walked it back, Obama can and Obama WILL, top aides tell me, hit McCain soon for adopting the same Social Security position as President Bush. Obama will say McCain has reverted to supporting voluntary private accounts while ruling out higher payroll taxes.

That means, Obama will say, McCain is now where Bush was in 2005, pushing private accounts but ignoring the hefty transition costs of converting Social Security from an entirely public, payroll-tax financed system to a partially private, partially public system weakened on the front end by lower payroll tax revenue.

We all remember how well that argument worked out for Bush when the economy, stock market and housing sector were far, far stronger than today. How do you think this argument will work now in the face of myriad downward economic pressures when Americans of all income categories are putting a premium on that which is safe, secure and dependable?

Yes, Social Security does not meet all of those criterion in the distant out years (starting about mid-century). But it meets them now. And if I’ve learned anything about Social Security debates since I started covering them in 1990, it’s that the here-and-now beats the sweet by-and-by every time.

When McCain opened up the tax can of worms on ABC on Sunday, he really dug his knife into the Social Security can as well. And if the Obama campaign has anything to say about it, McCain will smell more like Bush after opening these cans than he did before.

10 Responses to “McCain Payroll Tax Pain – Gymnastics Edition”

Comment by bill

what raise our payroll taxes ?/ we as american citizens need to drop our citizenship get rid of our social security numbers and not pay taxes like all the illeagels in this country almost every dollar we make as a citizen bwe pay around 50 cents on the dollar in tax in some form or another they tax this and that and at the end of the year we have property tax and more taxes to pay where will it all end they say price goes up there right but there is also more of us working than 20 years ago so with more employees with social security numbers the more they make ,,,, illeageals dont pay payroll taxes they have no social security numbers check it out America

 
Comment by Fourboys

Why don’t we just eliminate federal taxes altogether and institute a national sales tax on everything except food and baby items (excluding clothing) and medicine? That way everyone pays their fair share. Whether your shopping at Wal mart or Bloomingdales, everyone will pay……. say 10%. Even the illegals would have to pay their fair share when they are shopping.

Being a stay at home Mom with four boys, my husband and I can not afford to pay more in taxes. People need to start taking responsiblity for their own lives and quit looking to the government to bail them out……or should I say quit looking for the tax payers to bail them out.

Nothing in life is FREE. Someone, somewhere is always paying for it.

 
Comment by connie

If we elect McCain, we must give him a chance by electing a Repub. Congress.
The Dems Congress now is terrible, they have done nothing. Also Nancy and Reid has to go that
is for sure.

 
Comment by Bruce becker

McCain’s handlers say of his opening on the social security tax hike for the upper classes: “JOHN McCAIN DOES NOT SPEAK FOR THE McCAIN CAMPAIGN ON THAT ISSUE”.

Who does? The tri-lateral commission? Karl Rove? The CIA? This bears consideration. How can a candidate be said not to speak for his candidacy?

 
Comment by citizenwells

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Comment by Marcos El Malo

I’d rather take the bitter medicine now than keep putting it off. I’m a fiscal conservative Republican, not a credit card Republican. It’s astonishing that the last President to balance the budget and practice fiscal responsibility was a Democrat. Meanwhile, Bush and McCain are pushing for new offshore drilling while Exxon reaps an 11 billion dollar profit.

I supported McCain in 2000 but I no longer trust him. I don’t know who he was anymore, and I wonder if I really knew back in 2000. He’s surrounded himself with Bush neocons as advisers, even as he takes pains to create the appearance of differences with Bush. His campaign to date has been mostly insubstantial attacks based on personality that seem mean-spirited at best.

I’m wavering between voting for Barr or Obama. I’d rather vote for Barr, at least to send a message to the GOP, but if push comes to shove, I’d rather see Obama in the Whitehouse than McCain. A McCain presidency would be a disasterous continuation of the Bush adminstration.

 
Comment by Manuel J. Vasquez

As a Combat Veteran, I remeber the Code Of Conduct, at Fort Ord, California. You had to remeber all six codes and John McCain, forgot the most important one. That was number five:

When questioned should I become a prisoner of war I’am bound to give only name, rank, service number, and date of birth. I will evade answering further questions to the utmost of my ability. I will make no oral or written statements disloyal to my country and its allies or harmful to their cause. He did and I can’t figure out why any one would vote for this turn coat.

 
Comment by Chuck

25 million new impoverished citizens spawned from the ranks of illegals brought on by either McCain or Obama says there are tax increases coming to cover burgeoning social services. McCain is either a liar, a fool or both.

 
Comment by Mike

Well it sounds to me like McCain is unsure of what he might or might not do. Obama is confident that he will raise taxes to actually pay for our debts.
And I’m pretty sure Bob Barr is confident that he will cut the size of Government and let the consequences of that be what they may. Yes the government may have fewer Botanists, park rangers, geologists, arctic explorers but I’m sure if there is a real need some non profit will step in and hire them.
I’m voting for Bob just to make a statement about reining in govt. because mccain is running a lousy campaign and is going to lose anyway. let him blame bob.

 

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